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Hyperscalers secure three-year memory supply through full prepayments for 2028 capacity

Monday, March 2, 2026 at 09:20 PM

Morgan Stanley reports that hyperscale cloud providers are securing memory supply by placing three-year orders with full prepayments to manufacturers. This indicates that some suppliers are receiving 100% of their projected 2028 revenue in the current quarter, with volumes significantly exceeding current levels, suggesting a multi-year growth trend in AI infrastructure spending.

Context

Morgan Stanley recently highlighted a significant shift in the semiconductor supply chain, noting that major hyperscalers are now securing memory capacity through 2028. In a notable departure from standard procurement cycles, some firms are providing 100% full prepayments during the current quarter to guarantee supply three years in advance. These massive orders represent volume levels that are multiples of current output, signaling an unprecedented long-term commitment to AI infrastructure. This aggressive move by Nvidia customers underscores a strategic shift to prioritize supply security over short-term liquidity. Morgan Stanley views these prepayments as a definitive signal that hyperscale capital expenditure will continue to increase for several years rather than tapering off in the near term. For investors, this provides rare visibility into the long-term revenue trajectories of memory suppliers and the broader AI hardware ecosystem, suggesting sustained growth through the end of the decade.

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